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ANZ Economic News
ANZ Economic news reviews the latest key events in the New Zealand economy. As well as one-off events, the reports regularly include information on labour market conditions, gross domestic product, balance of payments, official cash rate changes, and the Government's finances.
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2020 editions
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2019 editions
September
- 23 September 2020: RBNZ Monetary Policy Review - No FLP-flopping (PDF 268kB)
- 22 September 2020: Negative OCR and Funding for Lending Programme FAQ (PDF 416kB)
- 17 September 2020: RBNZ MPR Preview - Hold the door (PDF 352kB)
- 17 September 2020: NZ GDP - On the money (PDF 415kB)
- 16 September 2020: PREFU 2020 Review - Big picture unchanged: colossal shock, colossal deficits (PDF 403kB)
- 10 September 2020: GDP Preview - One for the history books (PDF 340kB)
- 8 September 2020: PREFU 2020 Preview - Deja-PREFU (PDF 352kB)
August
- 28 August 2020: Freshwater regulatory change - clear vision but details murky (PDF 368kB)
- 19 August 2020: NZ Forecast Update: Renewed restrictions will hamper recovery (PDF 276kB)
- 18 August 2020: RBNZ to cut OCR 50bp to -0.25% in April (PDF 328kB)
- 12 August 2020: RBNZ MPS Review - Keeping the foot to the floor (PDF 276kB)
- 5 August 2020: Labour market review - Hard slog ahead (PDF 284kB)
- 4 August 2020: RBNZ to increase QE and weigh up other tools at August MPS (PDF 348kB)
July
- 31 July 2020: A straight-line recovery looks unlikely (PDF 332kB)
- 30 July 2020: Labour market preview - Still in the dark (PDF 292kB)
- 22 July 2020: NZ Forecast Update: Farmgate milk price (PDF 321kB)
- 16 July 2020: Q2 CPI Review - Inflation weak as a kitten (PDF 304kB)
- 13 July 2020: NZ Insight - Exchange rate a headwind (PDF 304kB)
- 13 July 2020: CPI Preview - Weak, but noisy (PDF 296kB)
- 8 July 2020: Negative OCR: What would it mean and how likely is it? (PDF 312kB)
- 7 July 2020: QSBO: Worrying (PDF 240kB)
- 1 July 2020: NZ Forecast Update: Current account outlook (PDF 316kB)
June
- 26 June 2020: Irrigation opportunities - Achieving more with less (PDF 264kB)
- 26 June 2020: More QE is on the way (PDF 272kB)
- 25 June 2020: NZ Forecast Update - Winter premiums squeezed for lamb and beef (PDF 260kB)
- 24 June 2020: RBNZ Monetary Policy Review - Keep calm and carry on (PDF 208kB)
- 18 June 2020: NZ GDP - Disruption in the data, but not to our view (PDF 160kB)
- 17 June 2020: RBNZ OCR Preview - In the 0.25 master's store (PDF 188kB)
- 16 June 2020: NZ Forecast Update: Farmgate milk price (PDF 264kB)
- 15 June 2020: NZ Forecast Update: Weak migration outlook (PDF 312kB)
- 11 June 2020: NZ Forecast Update and Q1 GDP Preview (PDF 288kB)
May
- 28 May 2020: Where to now with Quantitative Easing? (PDF 324kB)
- 28 May 2020: The recession is just beginning (PDF 224kB)
- 27 May 2020: RBNZ Financial Stability Report - Glass half full (PDF 176kB)
- 14 May 2020: NZ Budget 2020 - Big umbrella (PDF 308kB)
- 13 May 2020: RBNZ MPS Review - Putting it all on the table (PDF 192kB)
- 7 May 2020: RBNZ Quantitative Easing FAQ (PDF 376kB)
- 6 May 2020: RBNZ MPS Preview - QE hui (PDF 200kB)
- 6 May 2020: Labour market review - Standing idle (PDF 220kB)
- 5 May 2020: NZ Dairy Update - Defying gravity (PDF 296kB)
- 4 May 2020: Budget 2020 Preview - The end of the beginning (PDF 312kB)
- 1 May 2020: Q1 Labour Market Preview - Labour pains (PDF 232kB)
April
- 20 April 2020: CPI Review - Going out with a bang (PDF 244kB)
- 16 April 2020: CPI Preview - Downhill from here (PDF 232kB)
March
- 23 March 2020: RBNZ announces Quantitative Easing (PDF 192kB)
- 19 March 2020: GDP Outlook and Review - The good old days (PDF 264kB)
- 19 March 2020: RBNZ intervention urgently needed (PDF 236kB)
- 18 March 2020: Balance of Payments - Entering the slowdown (PDF 256kB)
- 17 March 2020: NZ Government COVID-19 Response Package (PDF 216kB)
- 16 March 2020: RBNZ delivers emergency 75bp OCR cut (PDF 184kB)
- 12 March 2020: NZ GDP Preview: Recession now looking highly probable (PDF 268kB)
February
- 28 February 2020: OCR cut odds rising rapidly (PDF 196kB)
- 12 February 2020: RBNZ MPS: Watch this space (PDF 248kB)
- 5 February 2020: RBNZ MPS Preview: Watch, wait – and worry (PDF 184kB)
- 5 February 2020: Labour market review: A strong finish for 2019 (PDF 220kB)
January
- 30 January 2020: Labour market preview: Offsetting forces (PDF 236kB)
- 24 January 2020: CPI Review: Close to target (PDF 244kB)
- 17 January 2020: CPI Preview: Within a whisker of the mid-point (PDF 232kB)
- 14 January 2020: QSBO: Feeling a little better (PDF 192kB)
December
- 19 December 2019: GDP: Through the worst (PDF 272kB)
- 18 December 2019: Balance of Payments: Contained (PDF 276kB)
- 11 December 2019: HYEFU Review: More spending, in time (PDF 316kB)
- 10 December 2019: GDP and BOP Preview: Finding a floor (PDF 264kB)
- 5 December 2019: RBNZ Bank Capital Decision and Change in OCR Call (PDF 184kB)
- 5 December 2019: HYEFU Preview: More capital from the capital (PDF 240kB)
November
- 27 November 2019: RBNZ FSR Review: No surprises there (PDF 168kB)
- 13 November 2019: RBNZ MPS: Hold up (PDF 252kB)
- 6 November 2019: Labour market review: There and back again (PDF 224kB)
- 5 November 2019: RBNZ MPS Preview: Sub-one (PDF 224kb)
October
- 31 October 2019: Labour market preview: Back up (PDF 236kB)
- 17 October 2019: Dairy Update: Onward and upward (PDF 272kB)
- 16 October 2019: CPI Review: Inner strength (PDF 244kB)
- 10 October 2019: CPI Preview: Falling short (PDF 236kB)
- 3 October 2019: Let's get fiscal (PDF 340kB)
- 1 October 2019: QSBO: Not getting down to business (PDF 192kB)
September
- 26 September 2019: Dairy update: No use crying over spilt milk (PDF 284kB)
- 25 September 2019: RBNZ OCR Review: Put on your happy face (PDF 196kB)
- 20 September 2019: RBNZ OCR Preview: Hold the door (PDF 202kB)
- 19 September 2019: GDP: Glass 0.5 empty (PDF 272kB)
- 18 September 2019: Balance of Payments: Pretty average (PDF 272kB)
- 12 September 2019: GDP and BOP Preview: Southerly winds (PDF 264kB)
- 6 September 2019: RBNZ OCR Call Change - Pedal to the metal (PDF 344kB)
- 5 September 2019: Dairy update: Downside risk to the milk price (PDF 256kB)
August
- 8 August 2019: Buying time (PDF 188kB)
- 7 August 2019: RBNZ MPS: Smack. (PDF 204kB)
- 6 August 2019: Labour market review: Surprisingly solid (PDF 224kB)
- 6 August 2019: RBNZ OCR Call Change - Turning sour (PDF 188kB)
July
- 31 July 2019: RBNZ MPS Preview: Take two (PDF 188kB)
- 31 July 2019: Labour Market Preview: Weakness filtering through (PDF 240kB)
- 16 July 2019: CPI Review: Over the hill (PDF 244kB)
- 11 July 2019: CPI Preview: As good as it gets (PDF 236kB)
- 8 July 2019: Forestry Update: Log prices crash (PDF 320kB)
- 2 July 2019: QSBO: Business blues continue (PDF 188kB)
June
- 26 June 2019: RBNZ OCR Review: Ready to roll (PDF 196kB)
- 21 June 2019: RBNZ OCR Preview: Holding pattern (PDF 188kB)
- 20 June 2019: GDP: A softer underbelly (PDF 272kB)
- 19 June 2019: Balance of Payments: Broadly stable (PDF 276kB)
- 13 June 2019: GDP and BOP Preview: Starting the year on a softer note (PDF 264kB)
May
- 30 May 2019: Budget 2019: Take it to the limit (PDF 296kB)
- 29 May 2019: RBNZ FSR Review: Resilient, but ... (PDF 168kB)
- 22 May 2019: Budget 2019 Preview: More than a feeling (PDF 264kB)
- 22 May 2019: Dairy update: Firm prices anticipated (PDF 264kB)
- 8 May 2019: RBNZ MPS: The first cut is the deepest (PDF 200kB)
- 2 May 2019: RBNZ MPS Preview: To be sure (PDF 184kB)
- 1 May 2019: Labour market review: Soft under the surface (PDF 224kB)
April
- 24 April 2019: Labour market preview: Stability (PDF 236kB)
- 17 April 2019: CPI Review: Running out of gas (PDF 236kB)
- 11 April 2019: CPI Preview: Final stand (PDF 232kB)
- 2 April 2019: QSBO: Business trip (PDF 188kB)
March
- 28 March 2019: RBNZ OCR Call Change: Sooner or later (PDF 208kB)
- 27 March 2019: RBNZ OCR Review: Lovey dovey (PDF 188kB)
- 22 March 2019: RBNZ OCR Preview: More of the same (PDF 188kB)
- 21 March 2019: GDP: Par (PDF 264kB)
- 20 March 2019: Balance of Payments: Three handle (PDF 264kB)
- 13 March 2019: GDP and BOP Preview: The new norm (PDF 148kB)
February
- 26 February 2019: Dairy update: Milk in the money (PDF 240kB)
- 13 February 2019: RBNZ MPS: Biding its time (PDF 196kB)
- 7 February 2019: RBNZ MPS Preview: Hold off, hold on (PDF 196kB)
- 7 February 2019: Labour market review: Back pay (PDF 224kB)
January
- 31 January 2019: Labour market preview: Is that your best offer? (PDF 240kB)
- 23 January 2019: CPI Review: In the mix (PDF 240kB)
- 16 January 2019: CPI Preview: Giving the slip (PDF 236kB)
- 15 January 2019: QSBO: In need of a caffeine hit (PDF 184kB)
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